Iowa May Offer Cain Best Chance for Early Win

Monday, 17 Oct 2011 02:53 PM

By Newsmax Wires

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Many politicos are skeptical that Republican presidential candidate Herman Cain will be able to translate his success in national polls to actual victories in state caucuses and primaries. Although he has topped several, he still stands in second place in most polls of early primary/caucus states.

Herman Cain, Republican, nomination,Iowa may be his best chance for an early victory that could propel his campaign to a real chance of competing for the nomination, The Hill reports.

Real Clear Politics' average of recent polls for the Iowa caucuses shows Romney with a 22 percent to 18 percent lead over Cain. But polls for caucuses are frequently inaccurate, and new candidates with passionate followers can fare well there. Cain could benefit from the recent drop in the polls by Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann, who won the Iowa Straw Poll in August and was seen as the early favorite in the state.

A poll from Democratic Public Policy Polling already puts Cain in the lead in Iowa, besting Romney 30 percent to 22 percent.

Of course, Cain has a few hurdles to overcome if he plans to snag a victory in Iowa. Bachmann still maintains average support of 12 percent there, and Perry stands at 10 percent. So Cain will have to compete with them, Romney, and Paul, who does well in caucuses, for the 21 percent undecided vote.

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