Rasmussen: Portman Still Leads in Ohio Senate Race

Tuesday, 31 Aug 2010 05:11 PM

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Republican Rob Portman now picks up 44 percent support while his opponent, Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher, earns the vote from 39 percent in the latest Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Voters in Ohio’s U.S. Senate race.

Seven percent prefer some other candidate while another 11 percent are undecided.

The race is a bit closer than it was two weeks ago, when Portman held a 45 percent to 37 percent lead over Fisher.

The latest numbers move this race from Leans Republican to Tossup in the Rasmussen Reports Senate Balance of Power rankings.

In every survey conducted this year, Portman’s support has stayed in the very narrow range of 42 percent to 45 percent of the vote. Fisher’s support has ranged from 37 percent to 43 percent in that same period.

When leaners are included in the new totals, Portman still leads. With the leaners, 47 percent will vote for Portman and 41 percent for Fisher.

This is now the second Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 survey in Ohio to include leaners. Two weeks ago, Portman led Fisher 48 percent to 39 percent when leaners were included.

Leaners are those who initially indicate no preference for either of the candidates but answer a follow-up question and say they are leaning toward a particular candidate.

Early in any campaign, the numbers without leaners are generally more significant. Later in a campaign, the numbers with leaners matter more.

Sixty-three percent of Portman’s voters now say they are certain of how they will vote, up four points over the past two weeks. Nearly the same number of Fisher’s supporters (62 percent) say they are certain of their vote, down slightly from the previous survey.

The statewide survey of 750 Likely Voters in Ohio was conducted on Aug. 30, 2010, by Rasmussen Reports.

Portman earns 84 percent of the vote from Republicans, while Fisher is backed by 77 percent of Democrats. Portman leads Fisher 47 percent to 23 percent among voters in the state not affiliated with either major political party.

Portman is viewed Very Favorably by 16 percent and Very Unfavorably by nine percent. Fisher’s reviews are 14 percent Very Favorable, 12 percent Very Unfavorable.

However, roughly one in five voters in Ohio do not know enough about either candidate to venture even a soft opinion of them.

Forty-five percent of voters in Ohio now approve of the job Obama is doing as president, but 54 percent disapprove. This is unchanged from last month and is comparable to his job approval ratings nationally from Rasmussen Reports polls.

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