Rasmussen: GOP's Blunt Maintains Lead for Missouri Senate Seat

Thursday, 12 Aug 2010 12:30 PM

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The race between Republican Congressman Roy Blunt and Democrat Robin Carnahan in Missouri’s U.S. Senate race is little changed after both candidates easily won their party primaries last week.

The Aug. 9 Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of 750 likely Missouri voters shows Blunt with 50 percent support, while Carnahan earns 43 percent of the vote.

Two weeks ago, Blunt posted a 49-43 percent lead over Carnahan, Missouri’s secretary of state. Blunt has run slightly ahead of Carnahan in surveys all year, with support ranging from 45 to 50 percent. She, in turn, has picked up 41 to 45 percent of the vote in those same surveys.

Just 3 percent prefer some other candidate in the race, and 4 percent are undecided.

Missouri remains a state that leans GOP in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Senate Balance of Power rankings. At stake is retiring Republican Sen. Christopher “Kit” Bond’s seat.

Both candidates earn high levels of support from voters in their own party. Voters not affiliated with either of the major parties favor the Republican by nearly 20 points.

Last week, Missouri became the first state in which voters got a chance to have a direct say on the new national healthcare law, and they overwhelmingly voted to reject its provision that all residents must buy or obtain health insurance. Several states are challenging the constitutionality of that provision in court.

Almost 40 percent of Missouri voters favor the health insurance requirement, while 61 percent oppose it. Nationally, 54 percent of voters oppose the requirement. In Missouri, as with the health insurance law itself, the passion’s on the side of the opponents: The overall findings include 24 percent who strongly favor the requirement for individuals to buy or obtain insurance, but 51 percent strongly oppose it.

Almost 95 percent of the voters who strongly favor the requirement support Carnahan, and 83 percent of those who strongly oppose it back Blunt.

Just over half of all voters in Missouri favor the state’s suing the federal government to prevent the health insurance requirement from going into effect. Slightly more than one-third oppose such a suit, but another 13 percent aren’t sure about it.

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