University of Cincinnati Poll: Santorum Leads Romney by 11 Points in Ohio

Wednesday, 29 Feb 2012 12:25 PM

By Dan Weil

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Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney is in big trouble in Ohio, the largest state to hold its primary on Super Tuesday, according to a new poll. The University of Cincinnati survey shows that former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum leads former Massachusetts Gov. Romney, 37 percent to 26 percent, among likely Republican primary voters. That’s far outside the poll’s 4.2 percentage point margin of error.

Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich placed third with 16 percent support, and Texas Rep. Ron Paul was fourth with 11 percent.

The best news for Romney is that nearly half of the respondents – 47 percent – said they may change their mind before Election Day, on March 6. Among that pool of respondents, 33 percent now support Santorum, 29 percent support Romney, 16 percent back Gingrich, and 14 percent back Paul.

A total of 53 percent of respondents said they will "definitely vote" for their current choice of candidate. Among those respondents, 46 percent now back Santorum, 24 percent back Romney, 18 percent back Gingrich, and 9 percent back Paul.

Among tea partyers, 42 percent support Santorum, 23 percent support Gingrich, 22 percent support Romney, and 9 percent support Paul.


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