Tags: McCain | Leads | Obama

Ga. Poll: McCain Leads Obama 54% to 40%

Wednesday, 14 May 2008 08:55 AM

Strategic Vision, LLC, a public relations and public affairs agency, announced the results of a three-day poll of 800 likely Georgia voters. The poll has a margin of error of ±3 percentage points. In the poll, 368 (46%) Republican voters were surveyed; with 328 (41%) Democratic voters surveyed; and 104 (13%) Independents and other party affiliation polled.

The poll found that 57% of respondents approved of Governor Sonny Perdue’s job performance, with 33% disapproving, and 10% undecided. Senator Saxby Chambliss received a 54% approval rating with 32% disapproving, and 14% undecided. Senator Johnny Isakson received a 57% approval rating, with 30% disapproving, and 13% undecided.

“Governor Perdue and Senator Isakson remain the most popular figures in Georgia,” said David E. Johnson, CEO and Co-Founder of Strategic Vision, LLC. “Their popularity transcends political lines and is consistent through all sections of the state. Senator Chambliss is in good shape entering the election season.”

In the Democratic race for the United States Senate, DeKalb County CEO Vernon Jones led with 28%; former newsman Dale Cardwell had 20%; 2006 Democratic Lt. Governor nominee Jim Martin had 15%; Rand Knight had 11%; Josh Lanier had 5% and 21% were undecided.

In a potential Senate match-up between Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss and Democrat DeKalb County CEO Vernon Jones, Chambliss led 58% to 29%; with 13% undecided. In a potential match-up between Chambliss and Democrat Dale Cardwell, Chambliss led with 57% to 27% for Cardwell, and 16% undecided. In a potential match-up between Chambliss and Democrat Rand Knight, Chambliss led 58% to 25% with 17% undecided. In a potential match-up between Chambliss and Democrat Josh Lanier, Chambliss led 57% to 24% with 19% undecided.

“At this point, Senator Chambliss is well positioned for re-election and is particularly strong in South and North Georgia,” said Johnson. “The base Democratic vote at this point appears to be between 25% to 30% starting off which will pose a challenge for the Democrats to expand upon, especially as Georgia’s Senate race will not be targeted by Democrats due to races with more potential in Minnesota, New Hampshire, Maine, Virginia, New Mexico, and Nebraska.”

President Bush’s overall approval was 41% approving, 47% disapproving, and 12% undecided. When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the economy, 35% approved; 49% disapproved; and 16% were undecided. When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the Iraq War, 41% approved; 42% disapproved; and 17% were undecided. When asked if they approved of the President’s handling of the war on terrorism, 55% said approved; 37% disapproved; and 8% were undecided.

“The President’s poll support is far lower then what one would expect in a state like,” said Johnson. “Much of this low support is due to the economy which has replaced Iraq as the President’s Achilles Heal and dissatisfaction among Republicans except on the issue of defense.”

When asked if they favored an immediate withdrawal of United States military forces from Iraq within 6 months, 39% said yes; 48% said no; and 13% were undecided.

When Republicans were asked if they viewed President Bush as a conservative in the mode of Ronald Reagan, 8% said yes; 80% said no; and 12% were undecided.

“The President continues to be in trouble with his conservative base as demonstrated by this question,” said Johnson. “Rank and file Republicans feel betrayed by the President and feel that he has deserted from the conservative path.”

When asked if voters approved or disapproved of the way Congress is handling its job, 13% approved; 75% disapproved; and 12% were undecided.

“For Democrats the good news should be that the President’s poll numbers are so low in a Republican leaning state like Georgia that it may affect Republican candidates. Yet the flip side is that voters don’t approve of the Democratic Congress which could hurt incumbents like John Barrow and Jim Marshall,” said Johnson.

When Republicans were polled on potential gubernatorial candidates for 2010, the results were Lt. Governor Casey Cagle 19%; State Insurance Commissioner John Oxendine 12%; Congressman Jack Kingston 11%; House Speaker Glenn Richardson 9%; State Secretary of State Karen Handel 7%; Congressman Lynn Westmoreland 5%; and 37% undecided.

“At this point there is no clear frontrunner to succeed Governor Perdue on the Republican side and the race is very much in flux,” said Johnson.

When asked if they thought Georgia was headed in the right direction or wrong direction, 53% said right direction; 30% said wrong direction; and 17% were undecided.

In a general election match-up for President, Republican Senator John McCain led Democrat Senator Barack Obama 54% to 40% with 6% undecided.

“This match-up is polarized among racial lines,” said Johnson. “Also McCain is in trouble among voters who identify themselves as strong conservatives.”


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