Sabato: Illinois Now Leans Republican, Quinn in Trouble

Thursday, 31 Jul 2014 12:45 PM

By Sandy Fitzgerald

Share:
  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Print  
|  A   A  
  Copy Shortlink
Illinois' Democratic Gov. Pat Quinn could lose in November, Larry Sabato, director of the University of Virginia's Center for Politics and author of the Sabato's Crystal Ball website, says.

Quinn, "barely elected to his first full term in 2010 and hampered by a poor state economy and budget problems, appears to be losing so far to a wealthy Republican, Bruce Rauner," Sabato and co-writers Kyle Kondik and Geoffrey Skelley said in an analysis by Crystal Ball.

"Illinois is the state [President Barack] Obama now calls home and is deeply Democratic; still, the president’s party could see its governor tossed out (just as Democrats lost Obama’s own Senate seat to Republican Mark Kirk in 2010)," the report said.

Quinn won in 2010 in part, the Crystal Ball report says, because he was facing an extremely conservative opponent that Illinois voters wouldn't approve, even though there was a "gigantic Republican wave that cycle."

But this time around, Rauner is considered more of an "outsider" opponent, and is promising "to clean up the mess in Springfield." Springfield is the Illinois state capital.

In the March primary, Rauner, a multimillionaire venture capitalist and first-time candidate, defeated his nearest competitor, state Sen. Kirk Dillard, netting 40 percent of the vote to Dillard's 37 percent. The race once again fueled hopes for a Republican takeover of the governor's office.

While Crystal Ball initially deemed the Illinois race as a "toss-up," it's now saying the race leans Republican and Rauner has a good shot at defeating Quinn.

"We’ve heard a lot of pessimism from Democrats about Quinn’s odds, though they hold out hope that he can pull the rabbit out of a hat once again," the report said. "He might, but he’s down right now — and facing a better candidate, Rauner, than he did last time."

If Quinn loses, he would be the first governor from a sitting president's home state, and of the president's party, to lose re-election since 1892, the report said, quoting Politico's Kyle Cheney.
Other Sabato's Crystal Ball Stories:

© 2014 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

Share:
  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Print  
  Copy Shortlink
Around the Web
Join the Newsmax Community
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
>> Register to share your comments with the community.
>> Login if you are already a member.
blog comments powered by Disqus
 
Email:
Country
Zip Code:
Privacy: We never share your email.
 
Hot Topics
Follow Newsmax
Like us
on Facebook
Follow us
on Twitter
Add us
on Google Plus
Around the Web
Top Stories
You May Also Like

Mississippi Supreme Court Rejects McDaniel Primary Challenge

Saturday, 25 Oct 2014 12:09 PM

Mississippi Tea Party candidate Chris McDaniel lost his attempt to revisit a losing primary challenge against U.S. Senat . . .

Dems Enlist Latinas for Top of Ballot

Saturday, 25 Oct 2014 12:04 PM

After years of running few Latinos for statewide posts, Democrats are building a bench that better reflects the support  . . .

Roberts Scarcely Mentions Long AG Record in Kansas

Saturday, 25 Oct 2014 09:45 AM

One would hardly know from Republican Sen. Pat Roberts' campaign speech that he is revered as a champion of Kansas' all- . . .

Most Commented

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

 
NEWSMAX.COM
America's News Page
©  Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved