Republicans are facing double-digit losses in the House and as many as seven losses in the Senate when voters go to the polls in November, political analysts predict.
And those observers expect the GOP to lose big even if Republican John McCain wins the White House.
Nathan Gonzales, political editor of the nonpartisan Rothenberg Political Report, told the Wall Street Journal that Democrats will gain eight to 12 seats in the House and three to five seats in the Senate.
Jennifer Duffy of the nonpartisan Cook Political Report predicts Democrats will gain as many as 20 seats in the House and four to seven seats in the Senate.
Democrats currently have a 235-to-199 edge in the House, and hold 49 seats in the Senate, although two independents often vote along with the Democrats.
“While Democrats are already able to pass much of their agenda through the House, many of those bills currently get stuck in the Senate,” the Journal notes. “A handful more seats in that chamber would give Democrats a better chance of overcoming filibusters, which require 60 votes to break.”
According to the Journal, Republicans are likely to suffer in November due to voters’ negative views of President Bush, rising oil and gas prices, a weak economy, and the housing crisis, and “voters overall appear to prefer putting Democrats in charge.”
Adding to Republican woes, Democrats have a huge financial advantage in both houses. House Democrats’ campaign arm had slightly more than $45 million in cash on hand at the end of April, while Republicans had just $6.7 million. In the Senate, Democrats had $37.6 million in cash and Republicans had $19.4 million.
Sen. John Ensign of Nevada, who heads Senate Republicans’ re-election efforts, told the Las Vegas Review-Journal that it would be a “great night” if the GOP can limit Democratic gains to three or four seats in the Senate.
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