Democrats Benefit From Medicare Worries in NY Election

Monday, 23 May 2011 08:05 PM


  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
|  A   A  
  Copy Shortlink
BUFFALO, N.Y. — A special congressional election in upstate New York may prove a preview to next year's U.S. national elections with older voters in the Republican stronghold ready to punish those who would tamper with Medicare.

The Tuesday election to replace Chris Lee, a married Republican congressman who was caught sending a shirtless image of himself to a woman he met online, is expected to hinge on concerns about the federal health program for the elderly.

A poll released on Saturday by Siena College showed that Medicare was the top issue in congressional District 26, which covers a big area of western New York state near Buffalo.

Only two Democrats have represented the district since World War Two.

But the survey showed Democrat Kathy Hochul leading with 42 percent to Republican Jane Corwin's 38 percent. Jack Davis, a self-described candidate of the conservative Tea Party movement, had 12 percent.

Nathan Gonzales of the Rothenberg Political Report, a non-partisan publication that tracks congressional races, said Democrats were benefiting from unease about Republicans' budget-cutting proposals that would privatize Medicare.

"I expect the Democrat to win with less than 50 percent of the vote," Gonzales said, suggesting such a victory would "be a blueprint for Democratic campaigns" nationwide in 2012.

Republicans hold an 8 percentage point voter registration edge in the district, where Republican John McCain won far more support than Democrat Barack Obama in the 2008 White House race.

Hochul has challenged Corwin for backing a budget plan put forward by House Republicans that includes the Medicare overhaul, and Davis has siphoned off some conservative support.

An estimated 59 percent of likely voters in the New York special election are 55 or older, making concerns about Medicare especially salient there.

House Republican Leader Eric Cantor sought on Monday to avoid having the vote seen as a referendum on Medicare.

"This race is about the fact that it's a three-way race," Cantor told reporters on Capitol Hill. "I do not think it can be seen as a signal as to the role of the budget reforms that we have proposed, including Medicare."

Regardless who wins on Tuesday, Republicans will retain control of the House of Representatives, which they gained in the 2010 elections. But the balance of power could be up for grabs with the November 2012 presidential and congressional vote. (Additional reporting by Thomas Ferraro and Donna Smith in Washington; Writing by Mark Egan; Editing by Laura MacInnis)

© 2014 Thomson/Reuters. All rights reserved.

  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Copy Shortlink
Around the Web
Join the Newsmax Community
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
>> Register to share your comments with the community.
>> Login if you are already a member.
blog comments powered by Disqus
Zip Code:
Privacy: We never share your email.
Hot Topics
Follow Newsmax
Like us
on Facebook
Follow us
on Twitter
Add us
on Google Plus
Around the Web
Top Stories
You May Also Like

NY Governor Hopefuls Debate Economy, Leadership

Wednesday, 22 Oct 2014 22:20 PM

New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo and his Republican challenger traded insults and clashed over the economy and corruption duri . . .

Experts: GOP Digital Talent Gap Needs to Close by 2016

Wednesday, 22 Oct 2014 22:05 PM

The GOP has a massive digital talent gap going into the 2016 presidential race, experts say.
While President Bara . . .

Texas' Davis Says She Would Welcome Obama Visit

Wednesday, 22 Oct 2014 21:10 PM

Democrat Wendy Davis said Wednesday she would welcome President Barack Obama campaigning for her in Texas after largely  . . .

Most Commented

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

America's News Page
©  Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved