Cuomo Leads by 20 Points in NY Gov Race

Wednesday, 27 Oct 2010 09:12 AM

 

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New York State Attorney General Andrew Cuomo tops Republican Carl Paladino 55-35 percent in the governor’s race, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. Another 7 percent are undecided and 11 percent of those who name a candidate say they might change their mind before Election Day.

This compares to a 55-37 percent Cuomo lead in an October 7 survey by the independent Quinnipiac University. In today’s survey, Cuomo even wins the support of 19 percent of Republicans, along with 88 percent of Democrats. Independent voters tip slightly to the Democrat 44 – 41 percent. Cuomo leads 57 – 30 percent among women and 53 – 39 percent among men.

By a 55-33 percent margin, New York likely voters have a favorable opinion of Cuomo, while Paladino’s favorability is almost the exact opposite, a 57-29 percent negative.

New York’s Democratic U.S. senators have commanding leads over Republican challengers:

• U.S. Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand tops former Congressman Joseph DioGuardi 57-34 percent.

• Sen. Charles Schumer leads Jay Townsend 64-32 percent.

“That Republican wave that’s said to be sweeping the country runs into a levee – a dam, a blockade, whatever figure of speech you like – at the New York border probably because of Carl Paladino’s foot-in-mouth disease.

Attorney General Andrew Cuomo can start measuring the Executive Mansion curtains. This race is all but over,” said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

“But remember that blow-out polls have a built-in correction factor. Some of the blow-outer’s supporters figure it’s all right to stay home on Election Day. Some of the blow-outee’s supporters figure they’d better make sure to vote to keep the score down. Result: It’s still a blow-out, but the numbers tighten,” Carroll added.

By a 54-24 percent margin, New York State likely voters have a favorable opinion of Gillibrand. DioGuardi gets a 30-16 percent favorability, with 50 percent who do not know enough about him to form an opinion.

She leads 60-29 percent among women and 55-38 percent among men and even picks up 16 percent of Republican voters, along with 87 percent of Democrats and 56 percent of independent voters.

Schumer gets a 63-30 percent favorability, compared to 23-15 percent for Townsend, with 59 percent who don’t know enough to form an opinion.
“Sen. Charles Schumer might be focusing more on the Nevada results on election night. He looks to be an easy winner at home in New York. And if Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid loses, Schumer could be in line to lead Senate Democrats,” Carroll said.

“Everything’s coming up roses for Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand. She’s emerged from a position of relative obscurity to take a 23-point lead with less than a week to go. And New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who was with her at a fancy gala last week, says she’s ‘stunning.’ If you don’t believe that, ask the Democratic and Republican would-be challengers who have been stunned by her in the last year.”


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