Study: Six Californias Would Likely Be Democratic

Wednesday, 13 Aug 2014 09:46 AM

By Drew MacKenzie

Share:
  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Print  
|  A   A  
  Copy Shortlink
Tech billionaire Tim Draper’s plan to divide California into six states would probably not be beneficial to the Republican Party, the Los Angeles Times reports, citing a new study.

Draper has submitted 1.3 million signatures to state election officials in an attempt to qualify for an initiative on the 2016 ballot. He claims that the Golden State, with 38 million residents and 163,000 acres of land is just too vast to govern properly.

"When the people and their state are no longer in sync, and large populations feel that they are not being represented, and when the state fails to provide the services that it promises to our citizens, then we lose our democracy," Draper, a venture capitalist, said in submitting the signatures.

Conservatives who support chopping California into six autonomous sub-states, known as Jefferson, Silicon Valley, North, Central, West, and South California, believe that it would help shake up the "deeply troubled" GOP and motivate Republican efforts in a mainly Democratic state, the Times said.

But a new study shows that under Draper’s division, Democrats would keep most political offices, while Republicans would only make marginal additions in the Electoral College.

Researchers found that of the six proposed states, three would remain staunchly Democratic while two would lean Republican, and one, South California, consisting of Orange County, San Diego, and the Inland Empire, would be competitive.

Conducted by University of California-Berkeley researchers Ethan Rarick and Jack Citrin, the study also that found that under six entities, Democrats would win seven out of a dozen seats in the U.S. Senate, based on the most recent election returns.

When it comes to presidential elections, Republicans might pick up one or two states, Jefferson and Central California, which would not affect the outcome of even close races, except in the case of a tie, according to the Times.

President Barack Obama ended up with 61.7 percent of the national Electoral College vote in 2012 and 67.8 percent in 2008. But even under six Californias, he would have received 60.2 percent and 66.8 percent, respectively, meaning that he still would have been elected in most cases.

The study said that it is possible that conservatives could win the new marginal "states" of Jefferson, Central, and South California, creating several GOP senators and governors.

But it also notes that "given the ever-increasing diversity of the electorate and the GOP’s difficulty in wooing Latino voters … chopping up the state could produce not merely six Californias but six Democratic Californias."

In other words, slicing up California would not help the GOP beat the state’s ruling Democrats, the Times said.

Related Stories:


© 2014 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

Share:
  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Print  
  Copy Shortlink
Around the Web
Join the Newsmax Community
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
>> Register to share your comments with the community.
>> Login if you are already a member.
blog comments powered by Disqus
 
Email:
Country
Zip Code:
Privacy: We never share your email.
 
Hot Topics
Follow Newsmax
Like us
on Facebook
Follow us
on Twitter
Add us
on Google Plus
Around the Web
Top Stories
You May Also Like

Cory Gardner, Colorado May Provide Solution for GOP on Immigration

Sunday, 23 Nov 2014 07:28 AM

Republicans in search of a way to oppose President Barack Obama's moves on immigration without alienating the nation's f . . .

Potential Clinton Donors to Meet in New York Next Week

Saturday, 22 Nov 2014 22:28 PM

A group will meet in New York next week to discuss ways of raising money for Hillary Clinton as soon as she announces he . . .

Ready For Hillary Eager to Be Put Out of Business

Saturday, 22 Nov 2014 14:43 PM

Ready For Hillary is ready to go out of business - just as soon as she announces definitively whether she's running or n . . .

Most Commented

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

 
NEWSMAX.COM
America's News Page
©  Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved