Getting rid of Obamacare will likely not be possible until 2017, when the full brunt of its runaway costs kicks in — something Republicans should prepare for, says Tevi Troy, a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute.
"Republicans need to start looking to 2017, when the costs of the law are so manifest that it won't be possible for anyone to deny the high costs," Troy told Ron Christie, guest host of "The Steve Malzberg Show."
"Obama will be out of office, [and] even if it's another Democrat in office, they won't be as invested in the law, and that moment in 2017 could be the moment when we say, okay, let's come together again and come up with a better plan."
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Troy, former deputy secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services under President George W. Bush, is author of the new book "What Jefferson Read, Ike Watched, and Obama Tweeted: 200 Years of Popular Culture in the White House."
He said that over the next six months as Obamacare is implemented, it will become apparent that the federal government is too overwhelmed to administer it efficiently.
"It’s clearly too much for any department to handle just in terms of the regulatory load that needs to happen and we've seen a lot of missed deadlines, we've seen a lot of delays announced, but those kinds of things happen with ordinary legislation," he said.
"The Obama legislation I would say is extraordinary because even if they get all the implementation done, it's not designed in a way that it'll actually work.
"So they're dealing with a lot of work that they have to do and there's something like over 15,000 pages of regulations on top of the 2,700-page bill, but they're also dealing with a law that just misunderstands incentives and won't actually get done what they needed to get done."
In addition, people are going to start losing work and healthcare, Troy told Christie.
"We’re already seeing when employers are hiring, they are hiring people for 30-hour weeks or less so that they don't have to do the 40 hours. It's not because the employers are mean or cruel, it's because these are the incentives that the government sets up," he said.
"Employers read the law, they want to follow the law, and it says, if I hire a person for these x number of hours, then I either have to pay for very expensive health insurance — because it's more expensive under Obamacare — or I have to pay a fine for the government. And it makes sense that employers don't want to do either of those things."
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