Whether control of the Senate will switch to Republican hands in the midterm elections could be determined by the outcome of one Southern state, one analyst says.
Matt Towery, CEO and publisher of InsiderAdvantageGeorgia, told J.D. Hayworth and John Bachman on "America's Forum" on Newsmax TV that he sees the battle for Georgia's Senate seat, vacated by retiring Republican Saxby Chambliss, as the critical race to watch.
"I tend to think that Georgia will be the deciding state as to whether the Senate goes into Republican majority or not," Towery said. "Georgia is going to play a critical role in whether or not the Republicans can take back control of the U.S. Senate and really have an effect versus President [Barack] Obama in the last two years of his administration."
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Chief among the keys right now, Towery said, is going to be voter turnout, given the fact that polling is showing 30 percent undecided, and there doesn't appear to be "this giant swell of Republican" sentiment developing.
"The economy's improving a little bit, and that's having some effect as to the degree to which people feel like turning out for these elections," Towery said. "Now, that may change . . . but they've got to pick it up very quickly, because right now it looks like it's going to be a relatively tepid sort of mediocre turnout for that big Republican primary that should, in past years, decide who would be the next U.S. senator."
It's anyone's guess who will emerge victorious from the May 20 Republican primary, which will field seven candidates. None is expected to get the majority needed to avoid a runoff, meaning the top two finishers are in all likelihood headed for another election on July 22 to determine the opponent for Michelle Nunn, the likely Democratic nominee.
Should the Republican nominee not be former Georgia Secretary of State Karen Handel, the lone woman in the race, Towery says that could ultimately prove beneficial to the Democrats in the elections this fall.
"They were going to be working primarily in trying to show how there is a gender separation, a problem, a gap in this country, and that's what we're seeing them do in states all over the nation," Towery said of the Democrats.
"That's part of why you see Michelle Nunn in this race this year. You're going to see in Georgia an effort by the Democrats to make this the year of the women. They're going to talk about disparities in wages, they're going to talk about other issues that generally appeal to female voters, and we have a tight governor's race, which is not going to make things any easier for a Republican nominee."
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