NewsmaxZogby Poll: Romney Surges Ahead Among Seniors in Virginia

Wednesday, 24 Oct 2012 10:39 AM

By David Alliot

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Mitt Romney is crushing Barack Obama among seniors 65 and over in Virginia — 58 percent to 39 percent — with 58 percent also saying it is time for someone new, versus 34 percent who said Obama deserves to be re-elected, according to the first of three NewsmaxZogby polls for the state.

An overwhelming majority of seniors polled — 63 percent — said they “somewhat” or “strongly” disapprove of the job Obama’s doing as president, with only 36 percent “somewhat” or “strongly” approving.

The president has a 3-percentage point advantage over his Republican challenger among all likely voters in Virginia, however: 49 percent to 46 percent, according to the poll. Yet more were against his re-election than were in favor of it: 47 percent to 44 percent.

Among high-income earners ($100,00-plus), 52 percent said it was time for someone new in the White House versus 39 percent who said Obama should stay.

It was the inverse for low-income earners ($25,000 or less) — 56 percent said he deserves to be re-elected, and 37 percent said it is time for someone new.

Among those reporting a union member in the household, 50 percent said he deserves to be re-elected; 42 percent said he didn’t.

In the youngest age group, 18- to 29-year-olds, the split favored his re-election: 45 percent to 38 percent.

Obama had a slight edge over Romney among men for the presidency, 48 percent to 46 percent, and led substantially among women, 51 percent to 47 percent. The crucial independent vote favored Obama over Romney 47 percent to 40 percent.

When asked about what kind of job the president is doing, 48 percent of those polled said they “strongly” or “somewhat” approve, with 50 percent “somewhat” or “strongly” disapproving.

Independents expressed dissatisfaction with Obama: 49 percent said they somewhat or strongly disapprove, with 45 percent somewhat or strongly approving of the job he’s doing.

Virginia’s role as a key battleground state leaves little wiggle room for Obama and Romney. “Both have some work to do to shore up their own bases,” said pollster John Zogby. “And the 7-point Obama lead among independents can be erased very quickly.”

The online poll of 827 likely voters was conducted Sunday, Oct. 21, through Tuesday, Oct. 23, and has a margin-of-sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

The joint venture between Newsmax and New York State-based pollster John Zogby has featured tracking polls in Ohio and Florida, with Virginia being the latest. National polls are featured right up to Election Day.

All reported results include voters who have already voted and those voters initially undecided who indicated they are leaning toward a candidate.

The NewsmaxZogby Poll of Virginia likely voters sampled 37 percent Democrats, 36 percent Republicans and 27 percent independents; 71 percent were white, 6 percent Hispanic, and 19 percent African-American; and 18 percent were ages 18-29, 38 percent ages 30-49, 32 percent ages 50-64, and 12 percent age 65 or older.




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