Tags: Election Night 2012 | wrong | Fox | voter | models

Dick Morris: I Was 'Wrong,' Blames Voter Models

Wednesday, 07 Nov 2012 08:46 AM

By Bill Hoffmann

Dick Morris sported a sheepish grin on Wednesday morning as he admitted his prediction that Mitt Romney would take Barack Obama in a landslide win was dead wrong.

"I’m buried in a mudslide!" the former advisor to Bill Clinton said on Fox News.

"I feel very badly for Barack Obama because now he really inherited a mess from his predecessor: himself."

Morris said the reason for his errant prediction was that he was basing it on a voter model that no longer exists.

"I said it reflected the same model as there was in 2008 and I said I thought that was a one-off affair, that it would not continue and that it was not going to be the permanent turnout model," he explained. "And I was wrong."

Morris said the nation now has a model "that is totally different than what we’ve ever had. Blacks are now 13 percent of the vote, not eleven. Latinos are 10 [percent], not eight. And people under 30 are 19, not 17.

"The previous numbers were the ’04 models and I thought things would return to that. They didn’t. They stayed at the ’08 model, despite a lack of enthusiasm for Obama.

"So what this is saying is, ‘This is not your father’s America.’ "

Morris also had some advice for Republicans: start appealing to America’s changing demographic.

"The percentage of women, single women, minorities and voters under 30 is so large at this point that unless the Republican Party fundamentally changes its appeal to those voters, it can never win an election," he said.

"By the time you take African-Americans, Latinos, under-30 voters and single white women, and add them together, Obama’s leading the election before you could count the first vote."

He said that if Romney "in this economy, against this opponent, couldn’t win an election with this electorate, nobody ever can.

"What the Republican Party needs to do is stop trying to run in the face of these demographics, but start appealing to them and revising some of its priorities and its positions in order to reach that vote, because that vote is here to stay."

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