NewsmaxZogby Poll: Undecided Swing State Voters Dwindling

Monday, 29 Oct 2012 11:23 AM

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Voters in three swing states who had been undecided about the presidential race are increasingly choosing their candidate — with mixed results, the latest NewsmaxZogby Tracking Polls reveal.

In Ohio, the 3-day tracking poll of 827 likely voters completed on Oct. 9 showed 12 percent of voters still undecided. But the new poll conducted from Friday, Oct. 26 through Sunday, Oct. 28, found that just 4.6 percent remain undecided.

But the spread between President Barack Obama and GOP challenger Mitt Romney remains about the same in Ohio — Obama led by 3.4 percentage points on the Oct. 9 poll, and leads in the latest poll by 3.6 points.

In Florida, the results are more striking. Back on Oct. 16, the 3-day poll completed on that date showed 10 percent of voters undecided. The new poll completed on Sunday has just 5 percent undecided. And Romney has picked up a larger share of the formerly undecided vote. He trailed Obama in the earlier poll by nearly 3 points, but now leads by 2 percentage points in the Sunshine State.

In Virginia, the earlier poll was completed less than a week ago, on Oct. 23, so the undecided vote there remains about the same — from 5 percent down to 4.5 percent.

The difference in Virginia is Obama’s dwindling lead — from 3 points in the earlier poll to just 1 point in the new survey.

Interestingly, in all three states — including Ohio and Virginia where Obama holds a lead — more people say they somewhat or strongly disapprove of the president’s job performance than strongly or somewhat approve.

Similarly, in all three states more respondents said “it’s time for someone new” in the White House than said Obama “deserves to be re-elected.”
Pollster John Zogby said: “Even though Obama’s job performance and re-elect are upside down, he has opened up a slightly bigger lead in Ohio by virtue of taking the lead among independents (8 points) and widening his lead among women (11 points).

“In Virginia, Obama has also pulled ahead by 9 points among independents, and among women, 54 percent to 42 percent. Obama is polling 42 percent among evangelicals, much higher than in 2008, to Romney’s 55 percent. Is that the Mormon factor?

“In Florida, Obama and Romney are in a dead heat among women as well as men. While Obama leads by a few points among independents, Romney has an even stronger lead among Republicans than Obama has among Democrats.”

The NewsmaxZogby poll is a joint venture between Newsmax and New York State-based pollster John Zogby. Tracking polls are being conducted in Ohio, Florida, and Virginia, and nationally right up to Election Day.


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