Romney Win Predicted By Famously Accurate Election Model

Thursday, 23 Aug 2012 05:10 PM

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If an analysis that has correctly predicted the winners of the last eight presidential races is to be believed then Mitt Romney will be elected the 45th president of the United States in November, the Boulder Daily Camera reported.

University of Colorado political science professors have predicted the outcome of presidential elections since 1980, and have been right each time. They are forecasting Romney to win 52.9 percent of the popular vote compared with 47.1 for Obama, the Camera reported.

The professors, Kenneth Bickers and Michael Berry, conducted a state-by-state analysis using economic data. It shows that President Barack Obama will only win 218 votes in the electoral college. He needs 270 to be re-elected.

The election cycle mirrors that of 1980 in some ways, Bickers told the paper, with the economy in a drawn-out slump. Ronald Reagan triumphed over President Jimmy Carter in that race.

"If the economy were just average, we would be forecasting Obama to win," Bickers told the Camera. "But the economy is below average, and he is struggling."



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