Tags: Middle East | rabil | gadhafi | libya | mideast | violence | oil

Mideast Expert: Gadhafi's End in Sight

Wednesday, 23 Feb 2011 10:13 PM

By Dan Weil and Kathleen Walter

Libyan dictator Moammar Gadhafi’s days of butchering his own people are almost over, Mideast expert Robert Rabil tells Newsmax.TV. The trigger for his departure will be when his tribe deserts him, Rabil says.

Gadhafi now relies on a few loyal soldiers, his tribe, other acquiescing tribes and mercenaries, says Rabil, a Mideast studies professor at Florida Atlantic University.

“The most important factor is his tribe. If it goes, I think he’s going to be out,” Rabil says.

“I think he’ll go pretty soon — the sooner the better,” Rabil said during the exclusive interview.

Story continues below.



And what will come next? It’s unlikely to resemble Egypt with a cohesive military assuming control.

“The army in Libya is built around tribes. I see a transition committee to lead the country into elections,” Rabil said. “The committee will comprise tribes and senior figures in the regime who are against Gadhafi.”

President Barack Obama could have spoken more strongly to protect the Libyan people, Rabil said. He could have issued a strong statement forbidding Gadhafi from bombing his own people with the Libyan air force. “The administration could have said that will be considered a hostile act,” he says.

As for Iran, the dictatorial regime of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is unlikely to be booted from power in the short term, Rabil said. “They have determination, the army (mainly the Iranian Revolutionary Guard) and close to 20 percent of the population that supports the regime.”

That support comes from the fact that the government gives money to those people. “That doesn’t mean they will stay in power for long, but there is a slim chance of hardliners turning reformers” in the short term, Rabil says.

And what should the United States do differently in the Mideast? “The U.S. should have a broad-based strategy to support basic universal rights,” Rabil said. “I’m not calling for open democracy throughout the Mideast. That takes time.”

But the United States should support human rights in Iran, Libya, Bahrain, Jordan and Syria. First, the United States should support judicial review and the rule of law, because these regimes arrest opponents arbitrarily. Second, the United States should support freedom of assembly.

As for Israel, it and the United States need to ensure stability in Jordan, he said. “That’s extremely important to Israel. It can’t afford to have two disruptions [on its borders] — Egypt and Jordan.”

© 2015 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

Around the Web
Join the Newsmax Community
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
>> Register to share your comments with the community.
>> Login if you are already a member.
blog comments powered by Disqus
 
Email:
Country
Zip Code:
Privacy: We never share your email.
 
Hot Topics
Follow Newsmax
Like us
on Facebook
Follow us
on Twitter
Add us
on Google Plus
Around the Web
Top Stories
You May Also Like

Despite Deep Hole, Dems Optimistic About Taking the House

Thursday, 29 Jan 2015 15:18 PM

As House Democrats are huddling in Philadelphia at a two-day strategy meeting, two questions trump all others - can they . . .

WaPo: Obamacare Case Centers On 'What Does Ben Nelson Want'

Thursday, 29 Jan 2015 14:50 PM

Former Democrat Nebraska Sen. Ben Nelson is at the center of a Supreme Court challenge to the Affordable Care Act over t . . .

Sharyl Attkisson Testifies to Being 'Bullied' for Telling Truth

Thursday, 29 Jan 2015 14:44 PM

The Justice Department bullies and threatens investigative journalists for doing their jobs, former CBS News corresponde . . .

Most Commented

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

 
NEWSMAX.COM
America's News Page
©  Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved