Just one year after President Barack Obama roundly defeated Mitt Romney in the 2012 presidential election, a new poll has found that a rematch today would put Romney in the Oval Office.
According to a Washington Post-ABC News poll
of 1,006 adults conducted Nov. 14-17, 49 percent would back Romney compared to 45 percent who would support Obama, a flip in the 4-point popular vote loss Romney had in 2012.
The results reflect just how much support the president has lost as a result of the Obamacare debacle which has undermined public confidence in both the president and the viability of the new healthcare law.
The survey also indicates that Obama's biggest loss of support comes from women, the young, the less-educated, the poor, and among liberals.
In 2012, the president beat Romney among women voters by 11 points, but if the election were today, he would lead by only 1 point. His support among young voters has dropped from 18 percent to 2 percent since the election last year, while those with less than a college degree flipped from giving him a lead of 4 points to a deficit of 9 points.
Perhaps most surprising is that support among liberals for the president has dropped to 59 percent from 75 percent, with roughly 20 percent now saying they would vote for Romney if the election was held today.
The Post points out, however, that the survey findings cannot be definitive since there are other factors that affect the outcome of a race, including margin of error in polling and the fact that the Electoral College — not the popular vote — elects the president.
Nevertheless, an 8 point swing in the popular vote toward Romney would have given him an additional 125 electoral votes, allowing him to win the race by 331-207, or virtually the same margin as Obama's 332-206 win.
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