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Newsmax/Zogby Poll: Politics, Gender Split Voters Among GOP Candidates

Friday, 11 Oct 2013 03:06 PM

By Jim Meyers


A closer look at the new Newsmax/Zogby poll reveals some intriguing allegiances among various demographic groups.

Respondents were asked who they would vote for if the Republican primary were held today, and they could choose from a list of 21 potential GOP candidates.

The poll results, released on Thursday,
show New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie the overall leader with 11.4 percent of the votes, just ahead of former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 11.2 percent, and Sen. Rand Paul, with 10.1 percent.

But among those respondents who consider themselves Libertarians, Sen. Rand Paul is the leader by a wide margin, garnering 32.6 percent of the votes.

Fiscal conservatives prefer Bush, giving him 14.8 percent, while those who consider themselves members of the Tea Party favor former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin. She got 19.9 percent of their votes. Social conservatives opt for Christie, giving him 15.8 percent of their votes.

Interestingly, respondents who live in the West give the largest percentage of their votes, 13.3 percent, to Sen. Ted Cruz, who represents Texas.

Not surprisingly, Christie leads in the East, Bush is the leader in the South, and Christie gets the most votes in the Central/Great Lakes region.

Residents of large cities favor Palin, with 10.3 percent, while rural voters prefer Bush, with 13.8 percent.

Bush leads among voters at both ends of the income spectrum. Among those earning less than $25,000 a year, he gets 15.1 percent of the vote, and among respondents with income over $150,000, he gets 23.7 percent.

Among income groups ranging from $50,000 to $150,000, Christie is No. 1, while those earning $35,000 to $50,000 give the most votes to Paul.

Veterans of the armed forces favor Cruz, with 12.4 percent, and give Bush just 5.3 percent. Palin gets 10 percent, and Christie garners 9.6 percent.

All ages groups give the most votes to Christie with the exception of those 18 to 29, who staunchly support Bush and give him 18.2 percent, far ahead of Christie's 4 percent.

NRA members give Bush more than twice as many votes as Christie. Bush gets 26.4 percent of their votes, compared to 10 percent for Christie.

Christie leads among male voters with 14.9 percent, but he finishes no higher than a tie for third among females with 7.9 percent of their votes.

Married respondents give the most votes to Christie, 11.8 percent, but singles overwhelmingly prefer Bush, giving him 22.4 percent to Christie's 12.2 percent.

Respondents who say they are Born Again Christians favor Rand Paul, giving him 15.7 percent, while Rep. Paul Ryan finishes second with 13.1 percent.

Those who attend religious services more than once a week give the most votes to former Sen. Rick Santorum, 15.7 percent, while those who never attend favor Bush with 12.9 percent.

GOP strategists might take note of the results when the Newsmax/Zogby poll asked respondents to name the two candidates they would never vote for. Among Tea Party respondents, Bush got the most votes, 19.7 percent, and overall frontrunner Christie was right behind with 18.8 percent.

A solid 86.1 percent of all respondents say they will "definitely" or "very likely" vote in their state's primary or caucus in 2016.


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