Intelligence Estimate: Bleak Outlook for Afghanistan After US Drawdown

Image: Intelligence Estimate: Bleak Outlook for Afghanistan After US Drawdown U.S. soldiers inspect the site of a car bombing outside Kabul, Afghanistan on Dec. 11

Sunday, 29 Dec 2013 08:57 AM

By Elliot Jager

Share:
  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Print  
|  A   A  
  Copy Shortlink
When American troops leave Afghanistan at the end of 2014, the Taliban will gain ground and the country will probably descend into chaos, according to a U.S. National Intelligence Estimate, the Washington Post reported.

The gains achieved by the 2009 troop surge will likely be wiped out.

With Afghan President Hamid Karzai refusing to sign a security agreement that would authorize a contingent of American and international troops to conduct counterterrorism operations and continue training Afghan forces beyond 2014, the estimate takes a bleak view of Afghanistan by 2017.

This downbeat intelligence prognosis is not unanimously shared.

Pessimists see years of U.S. gains being squandered with the Kabul government ultimately losing the big cities. Even if several thousand troops stay behind to conduct counter-terror operations and for training purposes and even if Congress continues to bankroll the country. The intelligence estimate could bolster those who would like to see the U.S. pullout accelerated, the Post reported.

Optimists — including some in the Obama administration — say the capabilities of the Afghan army are being underestimated and that the Taliban will be pressured to sue for peace. One administration official said the intelligence estimate is intended only to highlight "potential upsides and downsides" to U.S. policy.

Stephen Biddle of the Council on Foreign Relations sees continued stalemate in the years ahead depending on how much financial backing the U.S. provides the Kabul government.

If Karzai ultimately agrees to a deal regulating the U.S. and international presence, the country would continue to receive billions in U.S. and other aid.

As of December 28 the number of service personnel killed this year in Afghanistan stands at 127 for a total of 2,301 since America's longest war began in 2001.

Related Stories

© 2014 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

Share:
  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Print  
  Copy Shortlink
Around the Web
Join the Newsmax Community
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
>> Register to share your comments with the community.
>> Login if you are already a member.
blog comments powered by Disqus
 
Email:
Country
Zip Code:
Privacy: We never share your email.
 
Hot Topics
Follow Newsmax
Like us
on Facebook
Follow us
on Twitter
Add us
on Google Plus
Around the Web
Top Stories
You May Also Like

D'Souza Gets Community Confinement for Election Law Violation

Tuesday, 23 Sep 2014 14:22 PM

Conservative author and filmmaker Dinesh D'Souza was sentenced on Tuesday to spend eight months in a community confineme . . .

Charles Krauthammer: ISIS Is Global 'Ideological War'

Tuesday, 23 Sep 2014 14:19 PM

The battle against the Islamic State (ISIS) is a global "ideological war" that reaches into many nations because of its  . . .

Military Overhauls Arms Buying System to Counter Russia, China

Tuesday, 23 Sep 2014 14:04 PM

The Pentagon is planning to completely overhaul its system for buying new weapons to counteract more advanced armaments  . . .

Most Commented

Newsmax, Moneynews, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, NewsmaxWorld, NewsmaxHealth, are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

 
NEWSMAX.COM
America's News Page
©  Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved