Tags: | debate | poll | Romney | Obama

InsiderAdvantage/Newsmax Debate Poll: Romney Wins First Debate

Wednesday, 03 Oct 2012 11:58 PM

By Paul Scicchitano

  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
|  A   A  
  Copy Shortlink
A new InsiderAdvantage/Newsmax Debate Poll conducted minutes after Wednesday’s debate ended reports that most Americans say GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney won the first debate by a 7.4-point margin over President Barack Obama.

Asked to pick a winner on the night, 52 percent of the respondents chose Romney and 44.6 percent chose Obama.

Pollster Matt Towery says "the results largely followed party lines, but independents broke in favor of Romney, moving the dial in his favor."

Urgent Poll: Who Won the Presidential Debate? VOTE NOW!

Unlike traditional polls that rely on outbound calls, the InsiderAdvantage/Newsmax Debate Poll is based on a pool of several thousand randomly selected registered voters from around the United States who agreed in advance to call an 800 number in the first 20 minutes following the debate with their choice for the winner.

“You basically get the same randomness as if you were calling the households,” explained InsiderAdvantage head Towery, who noted that pollsters are prohibited from calling upon American families after 9 p.m. in any time zone — a restriction that effectively precludes traditional polls from being taken after an event such as Wednesday’s first presidential debate which wrapped up at around 10:32 p.m. Eastern. The debate started at 9 p.m.

The flash poll included responses from more than 372 registered voters, which was higher than expected and resulted in a margin of error of plus or minus 5.2 percent, according to Towery.

Urgent Poll: Who Won the Presidential Debate? VOTE NOW!

“That’s normally what we get on a flash poll. A plus or minus 6 would have been more than enough to be a valid poll in something like this,” he explained.

“The only non-random part is those who decide to call in and don’t’ call in, but we have a big enough pool so that that doesn’t really matter because we weight it down from Democrats, Republicans, independents or whatever,” he said.

© 2014 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

  Comment  |
   Contact Us  |
  Copy Shortlink
Around the Web
Join the Newsmax Community
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
>> Register to share your comments with the community.
>> Login if you are already a member.
blog comments powered by Disqus
Retype Email:
Zip Code:
Privacy: We never share your email.
Hot Topics
Follow Newsmax
Like us
on Facebook
Follow us
on Twitter
Add us
on Google Plus
Around the Web
Top Stories
You May Also Like

Sen. John Barrasso Mocks John Kerry's Climate Change Fears

Friday, 29 Aug 2014 22:23 PM

Secretary of State John Kerry ought to focus more on the immediate and deadly threats to the United States from around t . . .

Democrats Keep Obama at Distance Ahead of Mid-Term Elections

Friday, 29 Aug 2014 22:00 PM

Barack Obama's Democrats are walking a tightrope 10 weeks before US congressional elections: do they solicit the unpopul . . .

Report: Islamic State Computer Had Instructions for Jihad

Friday, 29 Aug 2014 21:20 PM

A dusty laptop snatched from an Islamic State hideout stashed thousands of documents about how to carry out the jihadist . . .

Most Commented

Newsmax, Moneynews, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, NewsmaxWorld, NewsmaxHealth, are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

America's News Page
©  Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved