Zogby Poll: Rand Paul Starts to Build Lead Over 2016 GOP Rivals

Image: Zogby Poll: Rand Paul Starts to Build Lead Over 2016 GOP Rivals

Thursday, 10 Jul 2014 07:04 AM

By Elliot Jager

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Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul has pulled ahead of the crowded pack of Republican presidential contenders and has 20 percent support for the first time, Zogby Analytics said.

"Rand Paul is emerging as the frontrunner in this race," Zogby said in a statement.

Paul has previously led in national polling of likely GOP voters. A July Quinnipiac University survey showed Paul ahead of the field with 11 percent support. And a May-June CNN poll had him leading with 14 percent.

In the Zogby poll, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie share the No. 2 spot with 13 percent each. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker has 8 percent; Florida Sen. Marco Rubio gets 7 percent, and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal pulls 4 percent.

The other contenders Zogby asked about each pulled 1 percent, including New Mexico Gov. Susana Martinez, Ohio Gov. John Kasich, and South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley.

The Zogby statement didn't reference Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, considered a likely 2016 presidential candidate.

Paul does comparatively well among men, conservatives, moderates, and Evangelicals. Zogby sees Paul as building "a coalition that includes tea party, moderate, fiscal conservative, and foreign policy non-interventionists to become a finalist at the GOP convention in 2016."

The poll, conducted June 27 to June 29, surveyed 282 voters and has a margin of error of 6 percentage points.

Zogby also surveyed 612 likely Democratic voters and found that Hillary Clinton continues to dominate the field with 52 percent. Vice President Joe Biden and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren trail far behind with, respectively, 8 and 7 percent.

Clinton's "major concern" should be not raising impossibly high expectations when the primary voting begins in earnest, Zogby said in the statement.

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