Tags: obama | win | lose

How Will Public React if Obama Loses or Wins?

Monday, 13 Oct 2008 11:48 AM

On a CNN panel, the “Ragin’ Cajun” conjured dire consequences to befall this country should opinion polls show Barack Obama winning — and then he loses.

James Carville, a likeable fellow when you get to know him, was so ominous in his admonitions they sounded almost like, We don’t dare not elect Obama president.

Carville didn’t come right out and say blacks would be setting fire to cities if the presidency were “stolen” from one of their own, but he skated quite close.

That’s sort of his rhetorical style, a bit like playing with matches in a Crazy Ed’s Fireworks warehouse. The sad thing is that Carville does have a point.

If you’re not black, try to understand how millions of black folks must be feeling in this election season. Whether right or wrong, with or without justification, many have convinced themselves for so long that they are marginalized beyond hope in an electorate that is predominately white.

Now, along comes Barack Obama. Who cares from where? He’s black, or at least one-half black, and this is the first time a black man has achieved a major American political party’s presidential nomination. Halleluiah!

As Carville spoke, opinion polls showed black Barack Obama beating white John McCain. Never mind that opinion polls are not always accurate. Never mind that even if they might be accurate they also can swing back and forth as Election Day nears.

Carville’s point was that if the opinion polls happen to be blowing in Obama’s direction the night before the election, not many blacks are going to take it with equanimity if more voters turn out for McCain than for Obama.

You can hear it now: Impossible! That just couldn’t be. Somebody must have stolen this election — and it sure wasn’t blacks who did the stealing.

Carville’s right. That is a mighty tinder box. Is America ready for the consequences of an Obama defeat on the heels of a winning prediction by opinion polls?

Carry it further. What if last-minute opinion polls show Obama losing — and, sure enough, he gets beat? Will frustrated blacks be any less outraged? What would those consequences be? Would the world, most of whose inhabitants are not white, be forever convinced America is a racist nation?

Suppose, regardless of what opinion polls predict, Obama wins, no matter how large or small a margin. How celebratory will blacks become?

What’s an Obama administration going to look like (and forget any implications of skin color)?

What kind of political associates will Obama be inviting into the White House as special guests or into key positions in government?

How many whites are going to take that philosophically and react with civility?

Plenty of McCain supporters are convinced, correctly or not, that Obama is just a five-letter word for socialism. Will an Obama victory be the dawning of the socialist revolution in America the far left has been panting for and working so hard all these years to bring about?

How soon will the masscomm egomaniacs fall out of love with this new administration? (And they will. They always do. The only thing they are truly in love with is themselves.) How will blacks respond to that?

It’s not a very pretty prospect any way you look at it. The world is about to see whether Americans are ready yet for self-government.

John L. Perry, a prize-winning newspaper editor and writer who served on White House staffs of two presidents, is a regular columnist for Newsmax.com.

Read John Perry's columns here.

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