Tags: zogby | poll | obama | mccain

Zogby Poll: Obama 50%, McCain 42%

Tuesday, 21 Oct 2008 11:43 AM

UTICA, New York — Democrat Barack Obama posted his second consecutive strong day of polling and pulled well ahead of Republican John McCain with two weeks to go before Election Day, the latest Reuters/C–SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll shows.

Obama improved his numbers by 0.5 points over yesterday, topping 50% outright for the first time in the tracking survey of likely voters nationwide, but the notable movement was McCain’s drop of two full points, settling at 42.4% in the three–day tracking poll. Obama leads McCain by 15 points among independent voters (50% to 35%), and is also winning 12% of the Republican vote, all the while retaining a firm grip on his Democratic base, winning 87% support from members of his own party.

McCain wins 84% of the Republican vote. Obama leads by 21 points among those who have already voted, and also maintains a large lead among those who have registered to vote just in the last six months. He leads by two points among men and by 13 among women. He also leads in all but one age demographic – those aged 55–69 – where McCain has a scant one–point edge.

The three–day rolling average poll includes 1,214 likely voters nationwide, surveyed at the rate of 400 interviews per day and was conducted Oct. 18–20, 2008. It carries a margin of error of +/– 2.9 percentage points. Interviews were conducted using live telephone operators in Zogby’s in–house call center in Upstate New York.

Obama leads 55% to 40% among Catholics, while McCain leads by a 53% to 41% margin among Protestants. McCain also

leads among those who consider themselves to be Born Again, or Evangelicals.

Obama wins 85% of those who consider themselves liberal, while McCain wins 73% of self–described conservatives. Obama leads among moderates by a nearly two–to–one margin.

Obama leads among blue–collar and white collar workers, and amongt hose who consider themselves neither blue– or white–collar workers. McCain and Obama are tied among those who consider themselves members of the investor class. Four years ago, Republican George Bush won that category by a wide margin over Democrat John Kerry. Obama leads or is essentially tied with McCain in every household income category.

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