UTICA, New York — Democrat Barack Obama has increased his lead to 11.4 points over Republican John McCain in the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll — up from a 7.1 point advantage in yesterday's report. The final tally now stands at 54.1% for Obama compared to 42.7% for McCain.
Pollster John Zogby: "Obviously anything can happen on Election Day, but Americans want change and it seems very clear that the historic candidacy of Sen. Obama defines that change."
After McCain made a play for the Keystone state of Pennsylvania a couple of weeks before Election Day, it appears voters have turned their backs on him, as Obama leads by ten points.
Obama is now beating McCain among Independents in Ohio, 60%-27%, an 18-point jump from last week. His other gain is among 18-29-year-olds, where he now leads by 30 points.
A 17-point lead among independents propels Obama to his lead in Virginia. He also leads among both men and women, and among moderates, his edge over McCain is two-to-one.
Obama is leading by a wide margin among independents in Nevada, and he is also doing well to win 16% support from Nevada Republicans in the state that borders the home state of his opponent. He holds a small lead among men, and a big 19-point lead among women.
Obama's lead among independent voters, 60% to 32%, is keeping him in the ballgame in Florida. Both candidates are doing well with their base. Turnout and get out the vote efforts will decide Florida.
It is as close as they come in Missouri, but Obama's small edge among independents helps keep him in the game. He also leads by 20 points among those who have already voted, and barely leads among women. McCain leads among men, but only by a small margin.
A dead heat in Nevada, with McCain winning a bit more of his political base than Obama is from his. Obama leads in the New Economy areas of Charlotte and Raleigh Durham, but McCain leads everywhere else.
McCain leads by five points in Indiana, which is helpful for him, but Obama still maintains a small edge among independent voters. McCain also leads among both men and women.