Democrat Barack Obama of Illinois holds a nine point lead in North Carolina, and has now edged ahead of Hillary Clinton of New York by a statistically insignificant two points in Indiana, a pair of new Zogby daily tracking telephone polls show.
In both states, the candidates are essentially tied among moderate voters, while Obama holds leads among mainline liberals and progressives. Clinton holds substantial advantages among conservative voters likely to cast ballots in the Democratic primary election.
After a good day of polling, Obama retains a lead in North Carolina - 48% to 39%, with 13% either unsure or favoring someone else. In Indiana, Obama won the day by a small margin and now holds 43% support, compared to 41% for Clinton, with the balance either favoring someone else or undecided.
The telephone surveys, conducted May 2-3, 2008, are the latest of Zogby's two-day daily tracking surveys that will continue until the last release Tuesday morning. In North Carolina, 600 likely Democratic primary election voters were polled. The survey carries a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points. In Indiana, 595 likely voting Democratic primary voters were surveyed. That poll also carries a margin of error of +/- 4.1 percentage points.