A new Newsweek Poll shows Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton trailing Sen. Barack Obama among likely Democratic caucus-goers in Iowa.
Iowa is home to the January 2008 caucus that is the first major event of the electoral season.
While Obama leads among likely Democratic caucus-goers, Clinton leads among all Iowa Democrats surveyed.
Poll. Among all Iowa Democrats surveyed, Clinton enjoys a 6-point lead over her nearest rival, Illinois Sen. Barack Obama. But among likely Democratic caucus-goers, she is locked in a three-way race with Obama and former North Carolina senator John Edwards, with Obama enjoying a slight edge.
According to Newsweek: Among all Iowa Democratic voters, Clinton draws 31 percent, followed by Obama (25 percent) and former Sen. John Edwards (21 percent). Among likely caucus-goers, Obama enjoys a slim lead, polling 28 percent to best Clinton (24 percent) and Edwards (22 percent). Gov. Bill Richardson is the only other Democratic candidate to score in the double digits (10 percent). Former Gov. Mitt Romney has emerged as the Republican front-runner both statewide and among likely caucus-goers. He enjoys the support of a quarter (24 percent) of the GOP’s likely caucus-goers, followed by former Sen. Fred Thompson (16 percent), Giuliani (13 percent) and former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee (12 percent). Arizona Sen. John McCain polled just 9 percent. A majority of Republicans (61 percent) and about half of all Democratic voters (47 percent) say abortion will be one of several issues they will consider when casting their vote. But a small minority of both Republican voters (6 percent) and Democratic voters (4 percent) consider it the single most important issue.
The Newsweek Poll was conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International on Sept. 26-27. Telephone interviews were conducted with 1,215 Iowa registered voters; the overall margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points. The margin of error for questions asked only of Democratic voters is plus or minus 5 percentage points and "likely" Democratic voters is plus or minus 7; for Republican voters it is 6 percentage points and plus or minus 9 points for "likely" GOP voters. For respondents who said the issue of abortion is important, the margin of error is plus or minus 4 points; for respondents who said it was "not important" it's 5 points.
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