If you look at Virginia and Kentucky, it looks like a narrow McCain victory.
If you look at Florida and Indiana, it looks like a big Obama win. All four states have less than a quarter of the vote in, so we can't jump to conclusions.
In Virginia, with 19% of the vote in, McCain is winning by 13%. That's about ten points better than it should be for McCain.
In Kentucky, with 23% in, McCain is winning by 15. That's about six points better than it should be for McCain.
But in Florida, with 13% in, Obama is winning by 11 points, which is eleven points better than it should be for Obama.
And in Indiana, McCain is winning by only 3% with 25% in. That's six points less than it should be.
On Senate races, Sue Collins' win in Maine is important. That indicates perhaps that the Dems won't reach 60 votes.
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