New York State is abuzz with speculation that former New York City Mayor and presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani will run for governor there in 2010.
But the "general consensus" among Republicans around the state is that Rudy won't enter the race, New York magazine reports. The chief reason: He has his eye on the White House in 2012.
Democratic Gov. David Paterson took office in March 2008 after Eliot Spitzer resigned the post in the wake of a prostitution scandal. Paterson has said he will run next year. But a Siena College poll had him trailing Giuliani in a hypothetical matchup by 15 points, and a Quinnipiac University poll showed Paterson with a 60 percent disapproval rating.
However, New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo, who is expected to win the Democratic nomination, has a 9-point lead over Giuliani is another recent poll.
But advisers say Cuomo "barely comes up in their conversations with the former mayor," according to New York.
"What's clear to them is that Giuliani wants to be a contender . . .He's intent on mounting a comeback" and "hasn't lost sight of his larger ambition in Washington."
The magazine observes: "Giuliani can run for governor or run for president in 2012, but he probably can't do both...
"President Obama appears to be vulnerable, and the Republican field in 2012 is open."
A political insider told New York: "Do you go to Albany in a thankless job, or do you take another shot nationally? He's aware that the Obama administration is falling apart much more quickly than anybody imagined."
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