Support for the Democratic congressional candidates fell to a new low over the past week, allowing the GOP to move slightly ahead for the first time in recent years in the Generic Congressional Ballot.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 41 percent said they would vote for their district’s Republican candidate, while 39 percent would choose the Democrat. [Editor's Note: For More on this Rasmussen poll, go here now].
Investors now favor Republicans by a 46 percent to 36 percent margin, while non-investors would vote Democratic by 45 percent to 33 percent.
Democrats began the year holding a six or seven point lead over the GOP for the first several weeks of 2009. Over the past month, the gap has been smaller, with Democrats holding a 2- to 4-point lead. It remains to be seen whether the current results reflect lasting change or statistical noise.
During the past year, Democratic support has ranged from a low of 39 percent to a high of 50 percent. In that same time period, Republicans have been preferred by 34 percent to 41 percent of voters nationwide.
Separate Rasmussen polling released last week found that ratings for Congressional leaders of both parties have changed little during the past month and remain largely unfavorable.
Just 19 percent believe Congress has passed legislation to improve life in America over the past year.
Consumer and investor confidence has improved over the past week. Confidence improved more among Democrats than Republicans and unaffiliateds, perhaps one indication that the President’s effort to talk up the economy had an impact.