Tags: Election 2010 | dick | morris | midterm | elections | polls

Dick Morris: Polls Wrong That Show Narrowing Race

Saturday, 11 Sep 2010 08:49 AM

By John Rossomando

Some polls show the midterm race between Republicans and Democrats for control Congress narrowing, but Newsmax contributor Dick Morris disagrees.

A recent Gallup poll found Republicans and Democrats tied at 46 percent on its general ballot, and The Hill recently ran a story suggesting the GOP’s 10-point advantage had evaporated. However, an ABC/Washington Post poll shows the GOP with a 13-point advantage, and a Real Clear Politics poll shows Republicans with a more than a 5-point advantage.

In an exclusive Newsmax.TV interview, Morris says the polls showing the evaporation of the GOP’s advantage likely are inaccurate.

Story continues below video.


“There are all kinds of ways to describe what’s wrong with wrong polling,” Morris tells Newsmax.TV. “The most common is there’s a shift in party identification and that the polling firm weights for parties.”

Pollsters distort their own polling to depress results favorable to Republicans, Morris says.

“There’s so many ways to do a poll bad that it’s hard to speculate on why, but take it from me, I’ve been looking at dozens and dozens of polls from races all over the country  ̶  the larger margins for the generic ballot are the right ones,” Morris says.

Morris continues to believe Republicans will regain control of the Senate in addition to the House following the November elections. He views Delaware, Indiana, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Colorado and Arkansas as definite GOP pickups and expresses optimism about the races in Illinois, California, Nevada, and West Virginia.

Were Republicans to win all 10 races, they would have 51 seats, enough to take control of the Senate.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., is particularly vulnerable, and Morris believes his Republican challenger Sharron Angle likely will win.

“Reid cannot get more than 45 or 46 percent of the vote,” Morris says. “I really think that is the cap for the Democrat, and I think that Reid badly overreached when he accused Angle of wanting to privatize and phase out Social Security.

“I think Reid got hurt badly in that exchange.”

Morris also weighed in on Delaware’s Sept. 14 GOP primary where tea-party backed Christine O’Donnell will face off against Rep. Mike Castle, the state’s former governor, fresh from her endorsement by former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin. The Castle campaign has waged an intense campaign attacking O’Donnell’s finances and integrity.

“The National Republican Senatorial Committee is making a big mistake savaging O’Donnell because she may end up being our candidate, and they may end up having to eat those words.”

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