Dick Morris: GOP on Track to Gain House, Senate

Tuesday, 19 Oct 2010 08:33 PM

By Dan Weil

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The outlook for Republicans in congressional races continues to just brighten and brighten, leaving the GOP easily on track to retake control of Congress, says ace strategist and Newsmax contributor Dick Morris.

He says Republicans will pick up 60 to 80 additional seats in the House and maybe more. The party only needs to add 39 seats to win a majority.

And why will Republicans do so well? “Opposition to the stimulus package and Obamacare are the two key elements driving this election,” Morris tells Newsmax.TV.

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Democrats are running away from their records, Morris notes. “You have a president who has legislated more in this two-year period than any other president except Franklin Roosevelt and Lyndon Johnson. Yet no one is running on that record,” he points out.

“They’re either running on personal negative attacks or trying to hide and pretend they’re Republicans.”

Democratic House seats that no one would have imagined are vulnerable, and races thought to be blowouts for Democrats are now neck and neck, he says.

“That really is an advantage to Republicans -- first because the undecided almost always go against the incumbent, and second because Republicans are so much more enthusiastic about voting this year that I think their turnout will be much higher.”

Morris cites several incumbent Democrats earlier considered prohibitive favorites who are likely headed for defeat: Reps. John Dingell of Michigan, Corrine Brown of Florida, John Hall of New York, Mike Ross of Arkansas and Gene Taylor of Mississippi.

And the biggest whopper of them all, Barney Frank of Massachusetts, is vulnerable, Morris says. He urges you to donate at superpacusa.com to help Republicans in these races.

Here’s how Morris sees seven key Senate races:

New York – Incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand now leads Joe DioGuardi by about 15 percentage points in the polls. But Gillibrand has the advantage of beginning her ads two weeks ago. “DioGuardi only has the money to start now,” Morris says. “I think that race will close quickly.” The candidates were tied in polls before Gillibrand’s ad campaign, he notes. “Nobody really knows who either candidate is, and that race should be very volatile as we approach the end.”

Delaware – Republican Christine O’Donnell has closed her gap behind Chris Coons to 11 points from 20 points two-three weeks ago. “She’s running very good media for the first time,” Morris says. “She’s getting over her terrible launch right after the primary, where everyone savaged her. I wouldn’t count her out at all.”

West Virginia – Morris thinks Republican Jon Raese will beat Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin by “a decent margin.” Raese now has a narrow lead in the polls. And everyone already knows who Manchin is. “He’s governor and has a very high approval rating,” Morris says. “If he’s only getting 43-44 percent now when everybody knows him, the undecided vote will undoubtedly go against him, because they’re just learning who Raese is.”

California – Democratic incumbent Barbara Boxer is up by one point in polls now. Republican Carly Fiorina started strong, and then Boxer knocked her back with a series of attacks on abortion and other women’s issues, Morris says. “But those negatives have begun to wear off. Fiorina is waging a good campaign. If they go into election night with Boxer ahead by only one point, she’ll lose.” That’s because the turnout will benefit Republicans. “This race has gone from likely Democratic to back in play,” he says.

Nevada – Republican Sharron Angle and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid were tied for a long time, and now Angle is three points ahead, Morris says. “The impact of the initial ferocious negatives she was hit with has faded. That’s going to be a likely if not certain Republican win.”

Washington – Republican Dino Rossi initially led incumbent Patty Murray in the polls. “But just like Boxer, Murray came in with abortion ads and all kinds of women’s stuff aimed at Rossi, and she took the lead. Now Rossi is beginning to answer those attacks and is coming back.”

Illinois – The polls have been tied since April, which is very surprising and frustrating, Morris says. Republican Mark Kirk has a good chance to beat Alexi Giannoulias because of the importance of issues like the stimulus package and healthcare, Morris says. “If they go into Election Day tied, I think Kirk will win because of the turnout.



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