Tags: Zogby | Obama | mccain

Zogby: It's 48 Obama, 44 McCain

Saturday, 11 Oct 2008 11:25 AM

The latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby poll of likely voters nationwide shows Democrat Barack Obama enjoys a small lead over Republican John McCain, with little change coming in the last day of a three-day tracking poll of the race.

With the Dow Jones Industrial Average taking more than a 1,000-point swing Friday and Congress adjourned until after Election Day, likely voters were little moved one way or the other, the poll shows. About 9% remain undecided with 24 days until the election.

The rolling telephone tracking poll, including a sample of 1,208 likely voters collected over the previous three 24-hour periods spanning four calendar days – approximately 400 per 24-hour period from Oct. 7-10, 2008 – shows Obama holding a lead now of 3.8 percentage points, virtually the same as his 4.2 percentage point lead yesterday.

Obama enjoys a lead in the east by a sizable margin, while the race is statistically tied in other regions of the nation. The Democratic presidential candidate also continues to lead among independents – by nine points in this latest rolling average, down a point from yesterday.

The poll was conducted by live telephone operators in Zogby’s in-house call center in Upstate New York and carries a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points.

This daily tracking telephone poll will continue each day until the Nov. 4 election, keeping in touch with the daily twists and turns in the race for the White House. With each new day of polling that is folded into the poll, the oldest third of the survey is replaced with the fresh data, so the poll “tracks” changes in voter attitudes following events and developments in the campaigns.

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