Dick Morris: Democratic Defections Will Ensure Obama Loss

Wednesday, 28 Jul 2010 03:09 PM

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President Barack Obama’s weak leadership on the Afghanistan war, Guantanamo, and the Gulf oil spill has Democrats backing away from him in droves, political analyst Dick Morris tells Newsmax.TV.

“Obama is down to a new low of 43 percent job approval,” Morris says, citing a recent Rasmussen Reports poll. “It’s Democrats he’s losing. He’s about where he always was with Republicans and independents, but it’s the Democrats who are turning on him.”

Morris predicts that the erosion of Obama’s base will continue, making his defeat in 2012 increasingly evident.

Story continues below video.



The decrease is especially true among Hispanics, who have grown disillusioned with Obama’s immigration policies. A recent Associated Press-Univision survey of 1,500 Hispanics found only 43 percent believe the president has addressed their needs. This contrasts sharply with a Pew Research Center exit poll from the 2008 election that found 67 percent of Hispanics supported Obama.

Obama’s political liabilities could cost the Democrats in the November election regardless of what people such as Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., might say, Morris says.

Reid claims that healthcare reform will help Democrats even though a recent Rasmussen poll found that 58 percent of voters favor repealing the law.

“I think the Democrats can be dragged down by the healthcare bill,” Morris says. “It’s ridiculous to say that a bill that 58 percent of the country opposes long after it’s been enacted is going to help those who voted for it. That’s kind of fuzzy math, and I believe Harry Reid will be defeated, too.”

Extending the Bush tax cuts also could play into the fall elections, and Morris says it will create an opportunity for the world to see where the “phony” conservative Democrats stand on their extension.

“It’s going to take 60 votes to extend the any of the Bush tax cuts, and therefore only 40 to kill them,” Morris says. “So what all of the conservative Democrats are going to say is, ‘I don’t want to kill all of the Bush tax cuts; I don’t want anybody’s taxes to go up,’ but unfortunately it takes 60 votes extend the lower tax rates to the wealthy.”

Morris predicts these Democrats will posture, then throw in the towel, and Republicans will support extending the Bush tax cuts only if the wealthy are included in the extension.

Republicans “are going to hang tough, I hope, and vote against canceling the cuts on the middle class unless the cuts are also cut on the wealthy,” Morris says. “The whole point of that is it doesn’t make any difference whether the wealthy pay more in taxes . . . but it does make a difference to the economy because a third of all spending is done by those whose taxes are going to go up.”

Taxing the rich will kill the economy because they will stop spending, Morris says.

When asked whether Rep. Charles Rangel, D-N.Y., will survive allegations of ethical wrongdoing, Morris says they could make him vulnerable against his primary challenger, Adam Clayton Powell IV. Powell is the son of Adam Clayton Powell Jr., whom Rangel defeated for his seat in 1970 amid a similar ethics cloud.

“Adam Clayton Powell lost that seat because of ethics charges brought against him by the House of Representatives, charges which were largely phony and trumped up by the white conservative Southern majority, which was uncomfortable with a black committee chairman,” Morris says. “The charges against Rangel are completely real.”

Morris believes Rangel’s Harlem voters may do the Ethics Committee a favor and throw him out in his mid-September primary.

Also in the wide-ranging interview, Morris:
  • Lambastes the National Rifle Association’s decision to back the Disclose Act, which would reverse the Supreme Court’s allowance of unlimited corporate and union campaign advertising.
  • Alleges that the gun group’s rumored decision to back Reid’s re-election puts it in the same category with AARP and the American Medical Association, which he believes sold out their constituencies to back Obama’s healthcare plan.
  • Predicts that the healthcare reform act will be repealed after the 2012 election, when a new president is in the White House.

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