Tags: Midterm elections | Gallup poll | approval numbers | President Barack Obama | re-election chances | predictivepower | past presidents

Obama's Rising Polls Not Sure Sign of Comeback

Thursday, 06 Jan 2011 11:22 AM

President Barack Obama should not take a recent uptick in his Gallup polling approval numbers as encouragement for a second term, The New York Times' FiveThirtyEight electoral blog reports. A president's approval ratings right after a midterm election are a historically poor predictor of his re-election chances.

Midterm elections,Gallup poll,approval numbers,President Barack Obama,re-election chances,predictive power,past presidents,correlation,The New York Times,FiveThirtyEight,Nate Silver"Ronald Reagan was tied with Gerald Ford for having the lowest [Gallup approval rating] — 37 percent — and he won in a blowout," FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver writes. "Bill Clinton’s approval rating was 47 percent, and he won. George H.W. Bush’s was 58 percent, but he lost. His son George W. had a 63 percent approval rating and won, but only barely."

The correlation between Gallup ratings and re-election odds increases, however, by the end of a president's third year in office.

© 2015 Newsmax. All rights reserved.

Around the Web
Join the Newsmax Community
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
>> Register to share your comments with the community.
>> Login if you are already a member.
blog comments powered by Disqus
Zip Code:
Privacy: We never share your email.
Hot Topics
Follow Newsmax
Like us
on Facebook
Follow us
on Twitter
Add us
on Google Plus
Around the Web
Top Stories
You May Also Like

Mali's Islamists Withdraw Cease-Fire Pledge

Friday, 04 Jan 2013 13:06 PM

Tens of thousands of Fatah supporters rallied in the Hamas stronghold of Gaza on Friday for the first time since they we . . .

Fmr. CIA Director Hayden: Iran Nuclear Crisis Gets 'Scarier'

Tuesday, 17 Jul 2012 18:11 PM

 . . .

Join Fmr. CIA Director for Special Iran Briefing, Assess the Danger

Friday, 13 Jul 2012 12:27 PM

 . . .

Most Commented

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

America's News Page
©  Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved