Medved: Gallup Poll Downgrades Democrats to New Minority

Tuesday, 22 Nov 2011 12:47 PM

By Margaret Menge

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Democrats should be very worried about the results of a new Gallup poll showing that most religious Americans identify with the Republican Party, Michael Medved warns.

“If demography is destiny, the Democratic Party could be facing big trouble,” Medved writes in The Daily Beast, in a column headlined, “Are the Democrats the New Minority.” The poll uncovers “stark differences” in marital status and religious involvement that “should give substantial advantages to Republicans and place Democrats increasingly outside the American mainstream.”

The Gallup poll confirms what has long been known — that churchgoing Americans are much more likely to identify with the Republican Party.

“Very religious white Americans continue to be one of the most Republican segments of the U.S. population,” Gallup’s summary of its findings says. More than twice as many of those who called themselves “very religious” said they identified with or leaned toward the Republican Party, compared with 27 percent who said they identified with or leaned toward the Democratic Party.

The Gallup poll results were based on an analysis of tracking data collected from 116,000 interviews over four months.

The pollsters found that very religious Hispanics are twice as likely as nonreligious Hispanics to identify with the GOP, though the majority still identifies with the Democrats. They found that religion made only a slight difference with black Americans, 77 percent of whom identified with the Democrats.

The results of this and another recent Gallup poll showing unmarried Americans as one of the Democratic Party’s biggest constituencies threatens to “place Democrats increasingly outside the American mainstream,” Medved writes.

“As a party overwhelmingly comprised of churchgoers and married people, the Republicans not only mirror the nation at large [where solid majorities are currently married and attend religious services at least monthly], but, more important, connect to nearly universal American aspirations.”


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