Matt Towery: Romney May Be in Trouble in Florida

Tuesday, 06 Nov 2012 10:06 PM

By John Bachman and Nick Tate

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Debate expert and pollster Matt Towery expressed “great concern” for Mitt Romney, with early vote counts showing President Barack Obama may have a slight edge.

“I am looking at new numbers they are giving me great concern for Mitt Romney in Florida,” said Towery, who was former House Speaker Newt Gingrich’s first debate coach.

With 74 percent of the vote in, Obama was up 50-49 percent.

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“The greater concern that I have is that having polled Florida for so long, Hillsborough and Pinellas County, which are in the Tampa Bay area are going to go for Obama,” he said in an exclusive interview with Newsmax TV. “Orange County went rather heavily for Obama.”

Asked what might be the key factors in those counties, Towery said it’s unclear.

“I am not saying that Romney cannot win Florida, I am saying that it is going to be very, very, close if he does and I am beginning to have my doubts about it,” he said.

“I would say to keep your eye on what counties are remaining. As I have understood it the remaining counties were Collier County … a Republican-rich area on the southwest side of the state. It will have to withstand an onslaught from Broward and Miami-Dade which has barely reported. If those numbers continue to go in that trend I am afraid that Florida will slip the other direction…. [and] if Romney does lose then it is over.

“Now, there is a long way to go until we get there and we are getting to the point that if you see Romney being to slip into the 49-48 territory, the only area that can make it up are some of those smaller counties in the panhandle that have not reported yet. They do not have a lot of votes but they are heavily Republican.”

Towery also noted Romney is doing well in southern states.

“In states such as Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, the turn out for Romney was very strong,” he said. “In almost all those states it is going to be a record. It is a true dichotomy that we have in this country now because … the Republican party certainly has its heart and soul based in the south, running from Texas across. The question will be…. if Romney does not win, does the Republican Party have to nominate someone who reflects that area and will expand outwardly? Because the Republican Party has to nominate someone who comes from another area of the country that can somehow inclusively bring that area in and win the nation.”

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