Republicans have reason for hope to change the leadership in the Senate and increase their majority in the House this coming November.
New polls released this week show that Obama’s approval ratings are at all time lows. History tells us that midterm elections tend to turn on the approval ratings of the president in power.
According to a Washington Post –ABC News poll a majority of voters say they prefer Congress to be in Republican hands as a check to Obama’s power.
Combine that poll with the president’s approval rating at 41 percent and 52 percent of Americans who disapprove of Obama’s job performance and that is a prescription for incumbent Democrats to jump ship from him. But, where do they go?
What difference will it make?
Washington Post reporter Dan Balz said this: “Obama’s Low Rating Could Be A Significant Drag On Democratic Candidates This Fall — Past Elections Suggest That When Approval Ratings Are As Low As Obama’s, The President’s Party Is Almost Certain To Suffer At The Ballot Box In November.”
Is the mainstream media finally turning on the president?
This is what Molly Ball of The Atlantic is reporting: “This is absolutely a low point for Obama, for his entire presidency. And there are a lot of democrats who really did think he had turned a corner.
"A lot of democrats who thought after a steady stream of good headlines on ObamaCare in particular that maybe that was something that was just sort of temporary, that now that the website’s working and people are enrolled that people would start feeling better about Obama.
"Obama’s got a low rating on healthcare but also a low rating on the economy and a very low rating on his handling of the situation on Ukraine. The headlines for Obama in recent weeks have really been all about foreign affairs. And there hasn't been a lot of good news for the United States there.”
Even MSNBC cannot deny the obvious. This is what Mika Brezinski said on “Morning Joe” this week: “New signs that President Obama may be politically toxic for Democratic candidates. According to a new Washington Post/ABC news poll, the President’s approval rating is now at 41% among registered voters, the lowest in this poll since the start of his presidency. He's also struggling on the major issues of the day. Only 42% approve of his handling of the economy, 37% approve of his implementation of the Affordable Care Act, and 34% approve his handling of the situation in Ukraine. And when voters were asked specifically if they'd rather have Democrats in control in Congress to support President Obama’s policies or Republican majority to keep him in check, 53% sided with Republican majority. Only 39% want Democrats in charge.”
With the President in trouble, so too are Democrats up for re-election this cycle.
The No. 1 issue that 2014 midterms will turn on is the economy. Today 54 percent of Americans disapprove of the way Obama has handled the economy according to a recent Washington Post-ABC Poll. And according to ABC News: “Views On The Economy Correlate With Congressional Vote Preference And On Which Party Should Control Congress — Regardless Of Party Affiliation — Suggesting That Democrats Are In Serious Need Of A Positive Shift In Economic Views.”
The key voting bloc to watch in 2014 are Independents and Democrats have reason to worry about them too.
According to the same Washington Post-ABC Poll, only 38 percent of independents believe the economy is in “good shape” and 22 percent of Independents see the economy improving.
The electoral map of 2014 is starting to resemble 2010.
Democrats reeling from low approval ratings and lack of a record to tout are likely to suffer a major enthusiasm gap with their base turnout this November. This should bode well for Republicans since historically they enjoy a higher and more enthusiastic turnout in midterm elections.
The issue that may make this election cycle a “wave” for Republicans may turn out to be Obamacare.
The Washington Post-ABC Poll shows that just 37 percent of Americans approve of Obamacare’s implementation. Add to this the fact that 29 percent of Americans say the quality of their healthcare has declined as a result of Obamacare, while just 14 percent say it has gotten better and 53 percent say it has stayed the same. 6 in 10 Americans blame Obamacare for increasing costs and 47 percent think it has caused their healthcare costs to rise.
The Kaiser Family Foundation that found that more Americans view Obamacare unfavorably by a margin of 8 points from 46 to 38 percent. In addition, 39 percent of those polled said healthcare was too expensive or they could not afford it as their reason for not having it.
With so many Americans with such a negative opinion of Obamacare there is no doubt that this issue could be decisive because it was a Bill that passed with only Democratic votes. Not one Republican incumbent voted for the Affordable Care Act.
While the president and Democrats are in trouble that alone will not get Republicans the Senate or increase their majority in the House.
It is not enough to decry the incompetence and failure of the party in power — Republicans must offer an alternative to win big.
This summer Republicans must advance a platform of issues, alternatives and solutions to America’s problems. They must take on jobs, budget, debt, taxes, healthcare, immigration, national security and education to name a few.
It is not enough to be against something. You must stand for something.
Bradley A. Blakeman served as deputy assistant to President George W. Bush from 2001-04. He is currently a professor of politics and public policy at Georgetown University and is a Board Member of Sports Fans Coalition and a frequent contributor to Fox News Opinion. Read more reports from Bradley Blakeman — Click Here Now.
© 2014 Newsmax. All rights reserved.